Ipswich vs Crystal Palace: match stats

PREMIER LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Round 30

20 March 2027 at 15:00 · LONDON TIME · Portman Road Stadium · Referee: not provided

Ipswich

11 · 6 pts · 5 P · 2 W · 0 D · 3 L · GD -4

Crystal Palace

15 · 4 pts · 5 P · 1 W · 1 D · 3 L · GD -5

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

70.9%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — goals: 2.76
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 1.48 × 1.27
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 60.5
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 43
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 100.0%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Expected Goals: not used
Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.
Model expected goals: 1.48 × 1.27
Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.
Signal consensus: 86.2
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 70.9%, low confidence and a sample of 5 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.48 × 1.27 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 4.5 yellow cards

33.5%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — metric: 3.92
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 1.71 × 2.06
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 68.2
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 40
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 96.7%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Model expected metric: 3.77
Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.
Signal consensus: 90.1
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 4.5 yellow cards has a model probability of 33.5%, low confidence and a sample of 5 matches per team.

League average — metric: 3.92 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.71 × 2.06 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 1X

67.4%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — goals: 2.76
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 1.48 × 1.27
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 60.5
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 43
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 100.0%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Expected Goals: not used
Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.
Model expected goals: 1.48 × 1.27
Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.
Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team
The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.
Signal consensus: 94.8
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 1X has a model probability of 67.4%, low confidence and a sample of 5 matches per team.

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance X2

58.4%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — goals: 2.76
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 1.48 × 1.27
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 60.5
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 43
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 100.0%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Expected Goals: not used
Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.
Model expected goals: 1.48 × 1.27
Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.
Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team
The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.
Signal consensus: 91.2
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance X2 has a model probability of 58.4%, low confidence and a sample of 5 matches per team.

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 20.5 shots

81.3%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — shots: 25.5
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 13.39 × 11.71
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 85.3
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 43
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 100.0%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Model expected shots: 25.10
Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.
Signal consensus: 91.6
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 20.5 shots has a model probability of 81.3%, low confidence and a sample of 5 matches per team.

League average — shots: 25.5 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 13.39 × 11.71 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

32.6%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — goals: 2.76
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 1.48 × 1.27
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 60.5
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 43
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 100.0%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Expected Goals: not used
Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.
Model expected goals: 1.48 × 1.27
Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.
Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team
The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.
Signal consensus: 94.8
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

25.8%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — goals: 2.76
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 1.48 × 1.27
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 60.5
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 43
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 100.0%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Expected Goals: not used
Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.
Model expected goals: 1.48 × 1.27
Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.
Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team
The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.
Signal consensus: 96.1
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

41.6%

low

View full analysis

Sample: 5 matches/team
Model: radaronze-v1

Model factors

League average — goals: 2.76
Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.
Home/away strength: 1.48 × 1.27
Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.
Opponent strength: 1493 × 1454
Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.
Recency: 120-day half-life
Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.
Historical stability: 60.5
Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.
Sample per team: 5 / 43
Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.
Historical coverage: 100.0%
Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.
Expected Goals: not used
Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.
Model expected goals: 1.48 × 1.27
Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.
Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team
The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.
Signal consensus: 91.2
Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 5 recent matches, Ipswich recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats and averaged 1.40 goals scored per match. Crystal Palace's 5-match sample contains 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 1.20 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Ipswich at home with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in 2 matches, averaging 1.00 goal scored and 1.50 goals conceded. Away from home, Crystal Palace has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 3 matches, with 1.00 goal scored and 1.33 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches (60%) of Ipswich's sample and 3 of 5 matches (60%) of Crystal Palace's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of 5 matches (60%) and 3 of 5 matches (60%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 11.60 per match for Ipswich and 10.60 for Crystal Palace. On target, the averages are 4.60 and 3.60, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Ipswich

5 matches

LWLLW

W: 2
D: 0
L: 3
GF: 7
GA: 11

Last 5

Crystal Palace

5 matches

DLWLL

W: 1
D: 1
L: 3
GF: 6
GA: 11

Last 5

Ipswich

5 matches

LWLLW

W: 2
D: 0
L: 3
GF: 7
GA: 11

Last 5

Crystal Palace

5 matches

DLWLL

W: 1
D: 1
L: 3
GF: 6
GA: 11

Last 5

Ipswich

5 matches

LWLLW

W: 2
D: 0
L: 3
GF: 7
GA: 11

Last 5

Crystal Palace

5 matches

DLWLL

W: 1
D: 1
L: 3
GF: 6
GA: 11

Season

Ipswich

5 matches

LWLLW

W: 2
D: 0
L: 3
GF: 7
GA: 11

Season

Crystal Palace

5 matches

DLWLL

W: 1
D: 1
L: 3
GF: 6
GA: 11

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored: Ipswich
1.40 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
1.20 · 5 matches

Average goals conceded: Ipswich
2.20 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
2.20 · 5 matches

Over 0.5: Ipswich
100% · 5 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
80% · 4 of 5 matches

Over 1.5: Ipswich
80% · 4 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
80% · 4 of 5 matches

Over 2.5: Ipswich
60% · 3 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
60% · 3 of 5 matches

Over 3.5: Ipswich
40% · 2 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
60% · 3 of 5 matches

Both teams scored: Ipswich
60% · 3 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
60% · 3 of 5 matches

Clean sheet: Ipswich
0% · 0 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
20% · 1 of 5 matches

Failed to score: Ipswich
40% · 2 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
40% · 2 of 5 matches

Indicator	Ipswich	Crystal Palace
Average goals scored	1.40 · 5 matches	1.20 · 5 matches
Average goals conceded	2.20 · 5 matches	2.20 · 5 matches
Over 0.5	100% · 5 of 5 matches	80% · 4 of 5 matches
Over 1.5	80% · 4 of 5 matches	80% · 4 of 5 matches
Over 2.5	60% · 3 of 5 matches	60% · 3 of 5 matches
Over 3.5	40% · 2 of 5 matches	60% · 3 of 5 matches
Both teams scored	60% · 3 of 5 matches	60% · 3 of 5 matches
Clean sheet	0% · 0 of 5 matches	20% · 1 of 5 matches
Failed to score	40% · 2 of 5 matches	40% · 2 of 5 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for: Ipswich
3.60 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
2.40 · 5 matches

Average against: Ipswich
5.20 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
4.80 · 5 matches

Total average: Ipswich
8.80 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
7.20 · 5 matches

Over 7.5: Ipswich
80% · 4 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
60% · 3 of 5 matches

Over 8.5: Ipswich
40% · 2 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
20% · 1 of 5 matches

Over 9.5: Ipswich
20% · 1 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
0% · 0 of 5 matches

Over 10.5: Ipswich
20% · 1 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
0% · 0 of 5 matches

Over 11.5: Ipswich
20% · 1 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
0% · 0 of 5 matches

Indicator	Ipswich	Crystal Palace
Average for	3.60 · 5 matches	2.40 · 5 matches
Average against	5.20 · 5 matches	4.80 · 5 matches
Total average	8.80 · 5 matches	7.20 · 5 matches
Over 7.5	80% · 4 of 5 matches	60% · 3 of 5 matches
Over 8.5	40% · 2 of 5 matches	20% · 1 of 5 matches
Over 9.5	20% · 1 of 5 matches	0% · 0 of 5 matches
Over 10.5	20% · 1 of 5 matches	0% · 0 of 5 matches
Over 11.5	20% · 1 of 5 matches	0% · 0 of 5 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average: Ipswich
1.80 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
1.40 · 5 matches

Opponent average: Ipswich
2.20 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
1.40 · 5 matches

Total average: Ipswich
4.00 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
2.80 · 5 matches

Over 2.5: Ipswich
100% · 5 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
60% · 3 of 5 matches

Over 3.5: Ipswich
80% · 4 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
40% · 2 of 5 matches

Over 4.5: Ipswich
20% · 1 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
40% · 2 of 5 matches

Over 5.5: Ipswich
0% · 0 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace
0% · 0 of 5 matches

Indicator	Ipswich	Crystal Palace
Team average	1.80 · 5 matches	1.40 · 5 matches
Opponent average	2.20 · 5 matches	1.40 · 5 matches
Total average	4.00 · 5 matches	2.80 · 5 matches
Over 2.5	100% · 5 of 5 matches	60% · 3 of 5 matches
Over 3.5	80% · 4 of 5 matches	40% · 2 of 5 matches
Over 4.5	20% · 1 of 5 matches	40% · 2 of 5 matches
Over 5.5	0% · 0 of 5 matches	0% · 0 of 5 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average: Ipswich
11.60 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
9.60 · 5 matches

Opponent average: Ipswich
9.20 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
9.60 · 5 matches

Total average: Ipswich
20.80 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
19.20 · 5 matches

Indicator	Ipswich	Crystal Palace
Committed average	11.60 · 5 matches	9.60 · 5 matches
Opponent average	9.20 · 5 matches	9.60 · 5 matches
Total average	20.80 · 5 matches	19.20 · 5 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots: Ipswich
11.60 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
10.60 · 5 matches

Average shots on target: Ipswich
4.60 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
3.60 · 5 matches

Average shots conceded: Ipswich
17.20 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
16.80 · 5 matches

Average shots on target conceded: Ipswich
5.80 · 5 matches
Crystal Palace
5.60 · 5 matches

Average xG: Ipswich
1.90 · 2 matches
Crystal Palace
1.31 · 2 matches

Average xG against: Ipswich
2.62 · 2 matches
Crystal Palace
1.67 · 2 matches

Indicator	Ipswich	Crystal Palace
Average shots	11.60 · 5 matches	10.60 · 5 matches
Average shots on target	4.60 · 5 matches	3.60 · 5 matches
Average shots conceded	17.20 · 5 matches	16.80 · 5 matches
Average shots on target conceded	5.80 · 5 matches	5.60 · 5 matches
Average xG	1.90 · 2 matches	1.31 · 2 matches
Average xG against	2.62 · 2 matches	1.67 · 2 matches

Home vs away

Ipswich at home × Crystal Palace away

Ipswich at home

Ipswich

2 matches

W: 1
D: 0
L: 1
GF: 2
GA: 3

Crystal Palace away

Crystal Palace

3 matches

DWL

W: 1
D: 1
L: 1
GF: 3
GA: 4

Average goals scored: Ipswich at home
1.00 · 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
1.00 · 3 matches

Average goals conceded: Ipswich at home
1.50 · 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
1.33 · 3 matches

Over 0.5: Ipswich at home
100% · 2 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
67% · 2 of 3 matches

Over 1.5: Ipswich at home
100% · 2 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
67% · 2 of 3 matches

Over 2.5: Ipswich at home
50% · 1 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 3.5: Ipswich at home
0% · 0 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
33% · 1 of 3 matches

Both teams scored: Ipswich at home
50% · 1 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
33% · 1 of 3 matches

Clean sheet: Ipswich at home
0% · 0 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
33% · 1 of 3 matches

Failed to score: Ipswich at home
50% · 1 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
67% · 2 of 3 matches

Total corner average: Ipswich at home
7.50 · 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
6.33 · 3 matches

Over 8.5 corners: Ipswich at home
0% · 0 of 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
0% · 0 of 3 matches

Total card average: Ipswich at home
3.50 · 2 matches
Crystal Palace away
2.00 · 3 matches

Indicator	Ipswich at home	Crystal Palace away
Average goals scored	1.00 · 2 matches	1.00 · 3 matches
Average goals conceded	1.50 · 2 matches	1.33 · 3 matches
Over 0.5	100% · 2 of 2 matches	67% · 2 of 3 matches
Over 1.5	100% · 2 of 2 matches	67% · 2 of 3 matches
Over 2.5	50% · 1 of 2 matches	33% · 1 of 3 matches
Over 3.5	0% · 0 of 2 matches	33% · 1 of 3 matches
Both teams scored	50% · 1 of 2 matches	33% · 1 of 3 matches
Clean sheet	0% · 0 of 2 matches	33% · 1 of 3 matches
Failed to score	50% · 1 of 2 matches	67% · 2 of 3 matches
Total corner average	7.50 · 2 matches	6.33 · 3 matches
Over 8.5 corners	0% · 0 of 2 matches	0% · 0 of 3 matches
Total card average	3.50 · 2 matches	2.00 · 3 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Ipswich

Emersonn

Forward

7.11

5 matches · 321 min

2 goals · 1 assists · 4 of 9 shots on target

L. Davis

Centre-back

6.47

5 matches · 458 min

2 goals · 1 assists · 3 of 6 shots on target

J. Enciso

Midfielder

6.73

5 matches · 423 min

0 goals · 2 assists · 4 of 16 shots on target

Z. Flemming

Forward

6.91

3 matches · 60 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 3 of 5 shots on target

J. Clarke

Forward

6.68

4 matches · 172 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 4 shots on target

K. Scherpen

Goalkeeper

5.64

5 matches · 368 min

16 saves · 6 goals conceded

C. Walton

Goalkeeper

1.90

3 matches · 90 min

1 saves · 0 goals conceded

Crystal Palace

D. Kamada

Midfielder

6.88

5 matches · 443 min

0 goals · 3 assists · 1 of 3 shots on target

T. Mitchell

Midfielder

6.61

5 matches · 421 min

2 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 5 shots on target

J. Strand Larsen

Forward

6.91

5 matches · 301 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 4 of 6 shots on target

E. Nketiah

Forward

6.65

4 matches · 176 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 2 of 4 shots on target

A. Khalaili

Midfielder

6.65

5 matches · 380 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 7 shots on target

D. Henderson

Goalkeeper

6.93

3 matches · 270 min

12 saves · 6 goals conceded

W. Benítez

Goalkeeper

4.16

3 matches · 180 min

5 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

12 September 2026Crystal Palace 2 × 3 Ipswich1557401

Average goals: 5.00 · 1 match
Both teams scored: 100% · 1 of 1 matches
Over 2.5: 100% · 1 of 1 matches

H2H corners: 9.00 · 1 match

Combined view

Data convergences

Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.

Ipswich vs Crystal Palace: statistics and analysis

Ipswich

Crystal Palace

RadarOnze analysis

RadarOnze analysis

Recent form and season

Ipswich

Crystal Palace

Ipswich

Crystal Palace

Ipswich

Crystal Palace

Ipswich

Crystal Palace

Frequencies across the last 10

Volume and observed lines

Averages and frequencies

Match intensity

Production and concessions

Ipswich at home × Crystal Palace away

Ipswich

Crystal Palace

Pre-match highlights

Ipswich

Emersonn

L. Davis

J. Enciso

Z. Flemming

J. Clarke

K. Scherpen

C. Walton

Crystal Palace

D. Kamada

T. Mitchell

J. Strand Larsen

E. Nketiah

A. Khalaili

D. Henderson

W. Benítez

Recent meetings

Data convergences