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Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: statistics and analysis

LA LIGA 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Round 36

· LONDON TIME · Metropolitano Stadium · Referee: not provided

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2 · 16 pts · 7 P · 5 W · 1 D · 1 L · GD 9

VSRayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

12 · 8 pts · 7 P · 2 W · 2 D · 3 L · GD -5

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

65.5%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 74.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 65.5%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

53.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 98.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 53.5%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 3.5 yellow cards

65.8%

high
View full analysis
Sample
43 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — metric: 4.44

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.22 × 2.32

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 67.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 43 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 98.7%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected metric: 4.54

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 91.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 3.5 yellow cards has a model probability of 65.8%, high confidence and a sample of 43 matches per team.

League average — metric: 4.44 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.22 × 2.32 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

76.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 93.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 76.5%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 1X

78.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 96.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 1X has a model probability of 78.5%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance X2

44.9%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 90

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance X2 has a model probability of 44.9%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

94.4%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 96.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 94.4%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

77.4%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 98.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 77.4%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

53.9%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 92.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 53.9%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.76 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 20.5 shots

85.0%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — shots: 25.24

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 14.99 × 11.07

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 83.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected shots: 26.06

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 81.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 20.5 shots has a model probability of 85.0%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — shots: 25.24 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 14.99 × 11.07 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 6.5 shots on target

81.4%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — shots on target: 8.8

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 5.67 × 3.60

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 76.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected shots on target: 9.27

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 95.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 6.5 shots on target has a model probability of 81.4%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — shots on target: 8.8 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 5.67 × 3.60 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

21.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 96.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

23.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 93.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

55.1%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.76

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.87 × 0.94

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1578 × 1507

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.5

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.71 × 1.19

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.83 × 1.01

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 90

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 10 recent matches, Atletico Madrid recorded 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats and averaged 2.00 goals scored per match. Rayo Vallecano's 10-match sample contains 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, with 1.60 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Atletico Madrid at home with 18 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 23 matches, averaging 2.13 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded. Away from home, Rayo Vallecano has 5 wins, 5 draws and 13 defeats in 23 matches, with 0.96 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of 10 matches (50%) of Atletico Madrid's sample and 9 of 10 matches (90%) of Rayo Vallecano's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 8 of 10 matches (80%) and 6 of 10 matches (60%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 14.90 per match for Atletico Madrid and 13.00 for Rayo Vallecano. On target, the averages are 5.70 and 4.90, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Atletico Madrid

5 matches
WWWLW
W
4
D
0
L
1
GF
12
GA
5

Last 5

Rayo Vallecano

5 matches
DWLWL
W
2
D
1
L
2
GF
9
GA
13

Last 10

Atletico Madrid

10 matches
WWWLWDWLWW
W
7
D
1
L
2
GF
20
GA
13

Last 10

Rayo Vallecano

10 matches
DWLWLDLWWD
W
4
D
3
L
3
GF
16
GA
18

Last 20

Atletico Madrid

20 matches
WWWLWDWLWWLWWLLLLWWW
W
12
D
1
L
7
GF
36
GA
28

Last 20

Rayo Vallecano

20 matches
DWLWLDLWWDDWDWLWLDDW
W
8
D
7
L
5
GF
29
GA
28

Season

Atletico Madrid

45 matches
WWWLWDWLWWLWWLLLLWWWWLLDWWDWWLLWWWWWWDWWDWDDL
W
26
D
7
L
12
GF
78
GA
51

Season

Rayo Vallecano

45 matches
DWLWLDLWWDDWDWLWLDDWDDWLLLWDLDLDDDLWWWLLDLDLW
W
14
D
16
L
15
GF
52
GA
60

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Atletico Madrid

2.00 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

1.60 · 10 matches

Average goals conceded

Atletico Madrid

1.30 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

1.80 · 10 matches

Over 0.5

Atletico Madrid

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 1.5

Atletico Madrid

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 2.5

Atletico Madrid

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Atletico Madrid

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Both teams scored

Atletico Madrid

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Clean sheet

Atletico Madrid

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Failed to score

Atletico Madrid

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

0% · 0 of 10 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Atletico Madrid

5.70 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

4.40 · 10 matches

Average against

Atletico Madrid

4.20 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

6.70 · 10 matches

Total average

Atletico Madrid

9.90 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

11.10 · 10 matches

Over 7.5

Atletico Madrid

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Over 8.5

Atletico Madrid

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Over 9.5

Atletico Madrid

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Over 10.5

Atletico Madrid

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 11.5

Atletico Madrid

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Atletico Madrid

2.20 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

2.50 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Atletico Madrid

2.00 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

1.90 · 10 matches

Total average

Atletico Madrid

4.20 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

4.40 · 10 matches

Over 2.5

Atletico Madrid

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Atletico Madrid

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 4.5

Atletico Madrid

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 5.5

Atletico Madrid

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Atletico Madrid

11.80 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

14.00 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Atletico Madrid

11.00 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

12.40 · 10 matches

Total average

Atletico Madrid

22.80 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

26.40 · 10 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Atletico Madrid

14.90 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

13.00 · 10 matches

Average shots on target

Atletico Madrid

5.70 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

4.90 · 10 matches

Average shots conceded

Atletico Madrid

13.00 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

15.80 · 10 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Atletico Madrid

4.70 · 10 matches

Rayo Vallecano

5.50 · 10 matches

Average xG

Atletico Madrid

1.30 · 8 matches

Rayo Vallecano

1.32 · 9 matches

Average xG against

Atletico Madrid

1.66 · 8 matches

Rayo Vallecano

1.69 · 9 matches

Home vs away

Atletico Madrid at home × Rayo Vallecano away

Atletico Madrid at home

Atletico Madrid

23 matches
WWDWWLWLWWWLWWWWWWWWWWD
W
18
D
2
L
3
GF
49
GA
20

Rayo Vallecano away

Rayo Vallecano

23 matches
DLLLWDWLLDDLLLLDLWWLLLW
W
5
D
5
L
13
GF
22
GA
41
Average goals scored

Atletico Madrid at home

2.13 · 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

0.96 · 23 matches

Average goals conceded

Atletico Madrid at home

0.87 · 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

1.78 · 23 matches

Over 0.5

Atletico Madrid at home

100% · 23 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

96% · 22 of 23 matches

Over 1.5

Atletico Madrid at home

74% · 17 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

78% · 18 of 23 matches

Over 2.5

Atletico Madrid at home

57% · 13 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

52% · 12 of 23 matches

Over 3.5

Atletico Madrid at home

35% · 8 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

26% · 6 of 23 matches

Both teams scored

Atletico Madrid at home

48% · 11 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

48% · 11 of 23 matches

Clean sheet

Atletico Madrid at home

43% · 10 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

17% · 4 of 23 matches

Failed to score

Atletico Madrid at home

9% · 2 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

39% · 9 of 23 matches

Total corner average

Atletico Madrid at home

10.74 · 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

10.30 · 23 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Atletico Madrid at home

70% · 16 of 23 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

61% · 14 of 23 matches

Total card average

Atletico Madrid at home

4.32 · 22 matches

Rayo Vallecano away

5.39 · 23 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena

Midfielder

7.24

7 matches · 455 min

4 goals · 1 assists · 7 of 13 shots on target

J. David

Forward

8.18

3 matches · 160 min

3 goals · 1 assists · 6 of 10 shots on target

G. Simeone

Midfielder

6.82

7 matches · 474 min

2 goals · 2 assists · 2 of 6 shots on target

Lee Kang-In

Forward

7.10

7 matches · 469 min

2 goals · 1 assists · 6 of 15 shots on target

Álex Grimaldo

Centre-back

6.87

6 matches · 535 min

2 goals · 1 assists · 5 of 9 shots on target

J. Oblak

Goalkeeper

6.89

7 matches · 630 min

16 saves · 6 goals conceded

Salvador Esquivel

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello

Forward

7.80

7 matches · 470 min

7 goals · 1 assists · 11 of 17 shots on target

Álvaro García

Forward

6.69

7 matches · 530 min

2 goals · 2 assists · 4 of 10 shots on target

Unai López

Midfielder

6.83

7 matches · 556 min

0 goals · 3 assists · 1 of 4 shots on target

Adrià Pedrosa

Centre-back

6.88

5 matches · 398 min

1 goals · 1 assists · 2 of 4 shots on target

Jorge de Frutos

Forward

6.63

5 matches · 373 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 2 of 2 shots on target

E. Audero

Goalkeeper

6.86

3 matches · 270 min

12 saves · 5 goals conceded

Dani Cárdenas

Goalkeeper

4.93

4 matches · 210 min

8 saves · 8 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Rayo Vallecano 3 × 0 Atletico Madrid1391055
Atletico Madrid 3 × 2 Rayo Vallecano1390870
Average goals
4.00 · 2 matches
Both teams scored
50% · 1 of 2 matches
Over 2.5
100% · 2 of 2 matches

H2H corners: 13.00 · 2 matches

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.