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Villarreal vs Real Madrid: statistics and analysis

LA LIGA 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Round 27

· LONDON TIME · Estadio de la Cerámica · Referee: not provided

Villarreal

Villarreal

9 · 8 pts · 7 P · 2 W · 2 D · 3 L · GD 1

VSReal Madrid

Real Madrid

4 · 15 pts · 7 P · 5 W · 0 D · 2 L · GD 10

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

86.0%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 93.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 86.0%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

62.8%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 97.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 62.8%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 3.5 yellow cards

58.2%

high
View full analysis
Sample
44 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — metric: 4.42

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.09 × 1.99

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 67.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 44

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 98.7%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected metric: 4.08

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 99.6

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 3.5 yellow cards has a model probability of 58.2%, high confidence and a sample of 44 matches per team.

League average — metric: 4.42 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.09 × 1.99 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

77.2%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 81.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 77.2%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 1X

49.7%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 33.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 1X has a model probability of 49.7%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance X2

73.1%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 14.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance X2 has a model probability of 73.1%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

96.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 95.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 96.5%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

84.0%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 95.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 84.0%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

43.3%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 36

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 43.3%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.78 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 20.5 shots

91.3%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — shots: 25.34

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 11.27 × 17.08

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 83.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected shots: 28.35

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 69.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 20.5 shots has a model probability of 91.3%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — shots: 25.34 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 11.27 × 17.08 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 6.5 shots on target

85.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — shots on target: 8.84

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 4.01 × 5.85

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 76.4

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected shots on target: 9.87

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 91.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 6.5 shots on target has a model probability of 85.5%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — shots on target: 8.84 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 4.01 × 5.85 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

50.3%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 33.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

22.8%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 81.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

26.9%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.78

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.38 × 1.87

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1630

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.21 × 2.06

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.33 × 1.93

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 14.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 10 recent matches, Villarreal recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats and averaged 2.00 goals scored per match. Real Madrid's 10-match sample contains 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 2.50 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Villarreal at home with 16 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats in 22 matches, averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded. Away from home, Real Madrid has 13 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats in 23 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of 10 matches (80%) of Villarreal's sample and 6 of 10 matches (60%) of Real Madrid's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 8 of 10 matches (80%) and 7 of 10 matches (70%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 14.30 per match for Villarreal and 17.60 for Real Madrid. On target, the averages are 6.00 and 6.90, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Villarreal

5 matches
WWLLL
W
2
D
0
L
3
GF
9
GA
8

Last 5

Real Madrid

5 matches
LWWLW
W
3
D
0
L
2
GF
12
GA
6

Last 10

Villarreal

10 matches
WWLLLDDWLL
W
3
D
2
L
5
GF
20
GA
18

Last 10

Real Madrid

10 matches
LWWLWWWWWW
W
8
D
0
L
2
GF
25
GA
10

Last 20

Villarreal

20 matches
WWLLLDDWLLDWWDWLWDWL
W
8
D
5
L
7
GF
38
GA
31

Last 20

Real Madrid

20 matches
LWWLWWWWWWLWDWDLWWWL
W
13
D
2
L
5
GF
41
GA
22

Season

Villarreal

45 matches
WWLLLDDWLLDWWDWLWDWLWWLWDLLWWLWWWWWWDLWWWLDWW
W
24
D
8
L
13
GF
85
GA
58

Season

Real Madrid

45 matches
LWWLWWWWWWLWDWDLWWWLLWWWWWWWWLWDDDWWWWLWWWWWW
W
32
D
5
L
8
GF
95
GA
43

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Villarreal

2.00 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

2.50 · 10 matches

Average goals conceded

Villarreal

1.80 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

1.00 · 10 matches

Over 0.5

Villarreal

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 1.5

Villarreal

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Over 2.5

Villarreal

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Villarreal

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Both teams scored

Villarreal

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Clean sheet

Villarreal

0% · 0 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Failed to score

Villarreal

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Villarreal

7.10 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

5.80 · 10 matches

Average against

Villarreal

4.00 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

3.90 · 10 matches

Total average

Villarreal

11.10 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

9.70 · 10 matches

Over 7.5

Villarreal

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 8.5

Villarreal

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 9.5

Villarreal

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Over 10.5

Villarreal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Over 11.5

Villarreal

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Villarreal

1.50 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

1.67 · 9 matches

Opponent average

Villarreal

2.10 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

2.67 · 9 matches

Total average

Villarreal

3.60 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

4.33 · 9 matches

Over 2.5

Villarreal

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

67% · 6 of 9 matches

Over 3.5

Villarreal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

67% · 6 of 9 matches

Over 4.5

Villarreal

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

56% · 5 of 9 matches

Over 5.5

Villarreal

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Real Madrid

44% · 4 of 9 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Villarreal

9.90 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

8.40 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Villarreal

12.30 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

15.20 · 10 matches

Total average

Villarreal

22.20 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

23.60 · 10 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Villarreal

14.30 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

17.60 · 10 matches

Average shots on target

Villarreal

6.00 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

6.90 · 10 matches

Average shots conceded

Villarreal

12.70 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

12.00 · 10 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Villarreal

4.20 · 10 matches

Real Madrid

4.00 · 10 matches

Average xG

Villarreal

1.62 · 8 matches

Real Madrid

2.49 · 9 matches

Average xG against

Villarreal

1.41 · 8 matches

Real Madrid

0.87 · 9 matches

Home vs away

Villarreal at home × Real Madrid away

Villarreal at home

Villarreal

22 matches
WLLWLWWWWWWLWLWWWDWWWW
W
16
D
1
L
5
GF
54
GA
25

Real Madrid away

Real Madrid

23 matches
LWLWWLWDLWLWWWWDDDWLWWW
W
13
D
4
L
6
GF
38
GA
25
Average goals scored

Villarreal at home

2.45 · 22 matches

Real Madrid away

1.65 · 23 matches

Average goals conceded

Villarreal at home

1.14 · 22 matches

Real Madrid away

1.09 · 23 matches

Over 0.5

Villarreal at home

100% · 22 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

96% · 22 of 23 matches

Over 1.5

Villarreal at home

95% · 21 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

83% · 19 of 23 matches

Over 2.5

Villarreal at home

77% · 17 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

57% · 13 of 23 matches

Over 3.5

Villarreal at home

50% · 11 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

17% · 4 of 23 matches

Both teams scored

Villarreal at home

68% · 15 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

57% · 13 of 23 matches

Clean sheet

Villarreal at home

23% · 5 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

35% · 8 of 23 matches

Failed to score

Villarreal at home

9% · 2 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

13% · 3 of 23 matches

Total corner average

Villarreal at home

9.86 · 22 matches

Real Madrid away

10.13 · 23 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Villarreal at home

68% · 15 of 22 matches

Real Madrid away

65% · 15 of 23 matches

Total card average

Villarreal at home

3.64 · 22 matches

Real Madrid away

4.78 · 23 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Villarreal

Alberto Moleiro

Midfielder

7.41

7 matches · 410 min

2 goals · 3 assists · 6 of 9 shots on target

P. Gueye

Midfielder

7.17

7 matches · 526 min

3 goals · 0 assists · 4 of 5 shots on target

Ayoze Pérez

Forward

6.86

7 matches · 351 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 7 of 12 shots on target

G. Mikautadze

Forward

6.75

7 matches · 419 min

2 goals · 1 assists · 10 of 15 shots on target

Ilias Akhomach

Forward

6.77

6 matches · 187 min

0 goals · 2 assists · 1 of 3 shots on target

Luíz Júnior

Goalkeeper

4.03

6 matches · 360 min

6 saves · 8 goals conceded

P. Gulácsi

Goalkeeper

7.60

3 matches · 270 min

10 saves · 2 goals conceded

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé

Forward

7.96

7 matches · 630 min

7 goals · 2 assists · 22 of 32 shots on target

J. Bellingham

Midfielder

7.78

7 matches · 529 min

3 goals · 2 assists · 7 of 12 shots on target

Vinícius Júnior

Midfielder

7.01

7 matches · 565 min

1 goals · 3 assists · 6 of 17 shots on target

A. Güler

Midfielder

7.44

7 matches · 353 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 4 of 9 shots on target

Carlos Espí

Forward

5.76

5 matches · 35 min

2 goals · 0 assists · 3 of 4 shots on target

T. Courtois

Goalkeeper

6.78

7 matches · 630 min

21 saves · 6 goals conceded

A. Lunin

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Villarreal 0 × 2 Real Madrid1391028
Real Madrid 3 × 1 Villarreal1390895
Average goals
3.00 · 2 matches
Both teams scored
50% · 1 of 2 matches
Over 2.5
50% · 1 of 2 matches

H2H corners: 8.00 · 2 matches

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.
  • Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.