RadarOnze

Alaves vs Celta Vigo: statistics and analysis

LA LIGA 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Round 23

· LONDON TIME · Estadio Mendizorrotza · Referee: not provided

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

72.1%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 80.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 72.1%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

49.7%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 74.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 49.7%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 3.5 yellow cards

65.6%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — metric: 4.41

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.36 × 2.17

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 67.8

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 98.7%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected metric: 4.53

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 90.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 3.5 yellow cards has a model probability of 65.6%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — metric: 4.41 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.36 × 2.17 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

71.7%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 91.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 71.7%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 1X

62.0%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 69.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 1X has a model probability of 62.0%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance X2

66.3%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 77.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance X2 has a model probability of 66.3%, medium confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

90.9%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 95.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 90.9%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

69.3%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 84.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 69.3%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

31.2%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 99.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 31.2%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — goals: 2.79 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 20.5 shots

67.5%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — shots: 25.39

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 12.13 × 10.46

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 83.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected shots: 22.59

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 79.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 20.5 shots has a model probability of 67.5%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — shots: 25.39 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 12.13 × 10.46 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 6.5 shots on target

67.4%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — shots on target: 8.87

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 4.01 × 3.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 76.3

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Model expected shots on target: 7.89

    Count model with home/away adjustment, team strength and empirical smoothing.

  • Signal consensus: 99.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 6.5 shots on target has a model probability of 67.4%, high confidence and a sample of 45 matches per team.

League average — shots on target: 8.87 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 4.01 × 3.89 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

38.0%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 69.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

28.3%

high
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 91.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

33.7%

medium
View full analysis
Sample
45 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 2.79

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.10 × 1.26

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1481 × 1496

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 45 / 45

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: 1.20 × 1.14

    The xG signal receives 28% of the weight; observed goals receive 72%.

  • Model expected goals: 1.13 × 1.22

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 77.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 10 recent matches, Alaves recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats and averaged 1.40 goals scored per match. Celta Vigo's 10-match sample contains 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats, with 1.20 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Alaves at home with 10 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats in 23 matches, averaging 1.48 goals scored and 1.22 goals conceded. Away from home, Celta Vigo has 8 wins, 10 draws and 4 defeats in 22 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of 10 matches (40%) of Alaves's sample and 5 of 10 matches (50%) of Celta Vigo's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 of 10 matches (40%) and 3 of 10 matches (30%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 12.20 per match for Alaves and 9.80 for Celta Vigo. On target, the averages are 4.60 and 3.70, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Alaves

5 matches
DLLWW
W
2
D
1
L
2
GF
7
GA
5

Last 5

Celta Vigo

5 matches
WDDDL
W
1
D
3
L
1
GF
7
GA
4

Last 10

Alaves

10 matches
DLLWWDWLWW
W
5
D
2
L
3
GF
14
GA
8

Last 10

Celta Vigo

10 matches
WDDDLLDWDL
W
2
D
5
L
3
GF
12
GA
10

Last 20

Alaves

20 matches
DLLWWDWLWWDLWLDDWDLL
W
7
D
6
L
7
GF
32
GA
30

Last 20

Celta Vigo

20 matches
WDDDLLDWDLWWLLLWLDLW
W
6
D
6
L
8
GF
27
GA
27

Season

Alaves

45 matches
DLLWWDWLWWDLWLDDWDLLDDLWWLLDLLWLLLWLDWLDLWDLW
W
14
D
12
L
19
GF
55
GA
62

Season

Celta Vigo

45 matches
WDDDLLDWDLWWLLLWLDLWWDLDLWWWDWWLWLWWDDLDDDDDL
W
15
D
16
L
14
GF
61
GA
54

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Alaves

1.40 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

1.20 · 10 matches

Average goals conceded

Alaves

0.80 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

1.00 · 10 matches

Over 0.5

Alaves

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Over 1.5

Alaves

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 2.5

Alaves

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Alaves

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Both teams scored

Alaves

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Clean sheet

Alaves

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Failed to score

Alaves

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Alaves

4.80 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

3.10 · 10 matches

Average against

Alaves

5.00 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

4.50 · 10 matches

Total average

Alaves

9.80 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

7.60 · 10 matches

Over 7.5

Alaves

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 8.5

Alaves

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Over 9.5

Alaves

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Over 10.5

Alaves

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Over 11.5

Alaves

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Alaves

1.90 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

1.60 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Alaves

2.50 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

2.40 · 10 matches

Total average

Alaves

4.40 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

4.00 · 10 matches

Over 2.5

Alaves

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Alaves

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 4.5

Alaves

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Over 5.5

Alaves

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Celta Vigo

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Alaves

14.00 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

10.40 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Alaves

12.70 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

13.80 · 10 matches

Total average

Alaves

26.70 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

24.20 · 10 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Alaves

12.20 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

9.80 · 10 matches

Average shots on target

Alaves

4.60 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

3.70 · 10 matches

Average shots conceded

Alaves

11.60 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

13.70 · 10 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Alaves

3.60 · 10 matches

Celta Vigo

4.50 · 10 matches

Average xG

Alaves

1.41 · 9 matches

Celta Vigo

0.98 · 9 matches

Average xG against

Alaves

0.97 · 9 matches

Celta Vigo

1.43 · 9 matches

Home vs away

Alaves at home × Celta Vigo away

Alaves at home

Alaves

23 matches
LWWWLWLWDDDLWDLWLWDWLDW
W
10
D
6
L
7
GF
34
GA
28

Celta Vigo away

Celta Vigo

22 matches
DDDDWLLWDWDDLWDWWWWLDD
W
8
D
10
L
4
GF
25
GA
21
Average goals scored

Alaves at home

1.48 · 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

1.14 · 22 matches

Average goals conceded

Alaves at home

1.22 · 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

0.95 · 22 matches

Over 0.5

Alaves at home

96% · 22 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

82% · 18 of 22 matches

Over 1.5

Alaves at home

74% · 17 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

64% · 14 of 22 matches

Over 2.5

Alaves at home

57% · 13 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

36% · 8 of 22 matches

Over 3.5

Alaves at home

22% · 5 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

18% · 4 of 22 matches

Both teams scored

Alaves at home

65% · 15 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

59% · 13 of 22 matches

Clean sheet

Alaves at home

22% · 5 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

36% · 8 of 22 matches

Failed to score

Alaves at home

17% · 4 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

23% · 5 of 22 matches

Total corner average

Alaves at home

10.09 · 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

8.36 · 22 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Alaves at home

57% · 13 of 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

36% · 8 of 22 matches

Total card average

Alaves at home

4.91 · 23 matches

Celta Vigo away

4.77 · 22 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Alaves

M. Díaz

Forward

7.30

7 matches · 323 min

3 goals · 3 assists · 8 of 8 shots on target

L. Boyé

Forward

7.09

6 matches · 484 min

4 goals · 0 assists · 6 of 11 shots on target

Angel Pérez

Centre-back

7.07

7 matches · 492 min

0 goals · 3 assists · 4 of 7 shots on target

N. Tenaglia

Centre-back

6.92

7 matches · 585 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 3 shots on target

Pablo Ibáñez

Midfielder

6.91

7 matches · 580 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 8 shots on target

Sivera

Goalkeeper

7.35

7 matches · 630 min

23 saves · 6 goals conceded

A. Giménez

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Celta Vigo

Miguel Román

Midfielder

7.37

7 matches · 579 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 1 of 4 shots on target

Hugo González

Forward

7.03

4 matches · 235 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 4 of 6 shots on target

Hugo Álvarez

Midfielder

6.88

5 matches · 279 min

0 goals · 2 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

Pablo Durán

Forward

6.77

5 matches · 246 min

2 goals · 0 assists · 4 of 5 shots on target

I. Moriba

Midfielder

6.94

7 matches · 492 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 5 shots on target

I. Radu

Goalkeeper

7.26

7 matches · 630 min

21 saves · 6 goals conceded

A. Bayındır

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Celta Vigo 3 × 4 Alaves1391101
Alaves 0 × 1 Celta Vigo1390939
Average goals
4.00 · 2 matches
Both teams scored
50% · 1 of 2 matches
Over 2.5
50% · 1 of 2 matches

H2H corners: 5.50 · 2 matches

Combined view

Data convergences

No strong convergence was identified from the available samples.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.