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Barcelona vs Como: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 8

· LONDON TIME · Camp Nou · Referee: not provided

Barcelona

Barcelona

3 · 3 pts · 1 P · 1 W · 0 D · 0 L · GD 4

VSComo

Como

5 · 3 pts · 1 P · 1 W · 0 D · 0 L · GD 3

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

76.1%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 74.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 76.1%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

69.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 79.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 69.0%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

79.7%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 92.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 79.7%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

97.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 94.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 97.5%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

88.9%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 88.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 88.9%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

68.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 100

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 68.0%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

24.8%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 83.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

20.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 92.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

54.8%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.35 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1546 × 1508

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.35 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 91.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 10 recent matches, Barcelona recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats and averaged 2.80 goals scored per match. Como's 1-match sample contains 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats, with 4.00 goals scored per match.

Both teams scored in 8 of 10 matches (80%) of Barcelona's sample and 1 of 1 matches (100%) of Como's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 8 of 10 matches (80%) and 1 of 1 matches (100%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 17.90 per match for Barcelona and 14.00 for Como. On target, the averages are 7.90 and 6.00, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Barcelona

5 matches
WWLWD
W
3
D
1
L
1
GF
15
GA
7

Last 5

Como

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
4
GA
1

Last 10

Barcelona

10 matches
WWLWDWWWLD
W
6
D
2
L
2
GF
28
GA
17

Last 1

Como

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
4
GA
1

Last 13

Barcelona

13 matches
WWLWDWWWLDWLW
W
8
D
2
L
3
GF
37
GA
21

Last 1

Como

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
4
GA
1

Season

Barcelona

13 matches
WWLWDWWWLDWLW
W
8
D
2
L
3
GF
37
GA
21

Season

Como

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
4
GA
1

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Barcelona

2.80 · 10 matches

Como

4.00 · 1 match

Average goals conceded

Barcelona

1.70 · 10 matches

Como

1.00 · 1 match

Over 0.5

Barcelona

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 1.5

Barcelona

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 2.5

Barcelona

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 3.5

Barcelona

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Both teams scored

Barcelona

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Clean sheet

Barcelona

0% · 0 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Failed to score

Barcelona

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Barcelona

4.70 · 10 matches

Como

1.00 · 1 match

Average against

Barcelona

2.50 · 10 matches

Como

5.00 · 1 match

Total average

Barcelona

7.20 · 10 matches

Como

6.00 · 1 match

Over 7.5

Barcelona

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 8.5

Barcelona

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 9.5

Barcelona

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 10.5

Barcelona

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 11.5

Barcelona

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Barcelona

1.80 · 10 matches

Como

2.00 · 1 match

Opponent average

Barcelona

1.70 · 10 matches

Como

3.00 · 1 match

Total average

Barcelona

3.50 · 10 matches

Como

5.00 · 1 match

Over 2.5

Barcelona

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 3.5

Barcelona

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 4.5

Barcelona

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Como

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 5.5

Barcelona

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Como

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Barcelona

9.30 · 10 matches

Como

9.00 · 1 match

Opponent average

Barcelona

13.10 · 10 matches

Como

10.00 · 1 match

Total average

Barcelona

22.40 · 10 matches

Como

19.00 · 1 match

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Barcelona

17.90 · 10 matches

Como

14.00 · 1 match

Average shots on target

Barcelona

7.90 · 10 matches

Como

6.00 · 1 match

Average shots conceded

Barcelona

9.70 · 10 matches

Como

14.00 · 1 match

Average shots on target conceded

Barcelona

3.80 · 10 matches

Como

4.00 · 1 match

Average xG

Barcelona

2.04 · 9 matches

Como

Insufficient data

Average xG against

Barcelona

1.32 · 9 matches

Como

Insufficient data

Home vs away

Barcelona at home × Como away

Barcelona at home

Barcelona

7 matches
WLWWWWL
W
5
D
0
L
2
GF
25
GA
10

Como away

Como

0 matches

Insufficient data

Average goals scored

Barcelona at home

3.57 · 7 matches

Como away

0.00 · 0 matches

Average goals conceded

Barcelona at home

1.43 · 7 matches

Como away

0.00 · 0 matches

Over 0.5

Barcelona at home

100% · 7 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Over 1.5

Barcelona at home

100% · 7 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Over 2.5

Barcelona at home

86% · 6 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Over 3.5

Barcelona at home

57% · 4 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Both teams scored

Barcelona at home

86% · 6 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Clean sheet

Barcelona at home

0% · 0 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Failed to score

Barcelona at home

14% · 1 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Total corner average

Barcelona at home

8.43 · 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Over 8.5 corners

Barcelona at home

43% · 3 of 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Total card average

Barcelona at home

4.57 · 7 matches

Como away

Insufficient data

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Barcelona

Lamine Yamal

Forward

9.60

1 matches · 90 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 2 of 4 shots on target

Raphinha

Forward

9.87

1 matches · 71 min

2 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 3 shots on target

Gabriel Jesus

Forward

7.83

1 matches · 7 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 2 shots on target

Pedri

Midfielder

7.70

1 matches · 63 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

K. Adeyemi

Forward

7.66

1 matches · 63 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 2 shots on target

Joan García

Goalkeeper

6.60

1 matches · 90 min

1 saves · 0 goals conceded

W. Szczęsny

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Como

M. Baturina

Midfielder

9.00

1 matches · 66 min

1 goals · 1 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

N. Paz

Midfielder

8.42

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 2 assists · 0 of 3 shots on target

Assane Diao

Midfielder

8.02

1 matches · 86 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 2 shots on target

T. Douvikas

Forward

7.77

1 matches · 65 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

M. Perrone

Midfielder

7.53

1 matches · 25 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

J. Butez

Goalkeeper

6.75

1 matches · 90 min

3 saves · 0 goals conceded

Robert Sánchez

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.
  • Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.