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Viking vs PSV Eindhoven: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 7

· LONDON TIME · MHPArena · Referee: not provided

Viking

Viking

29 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -2

VSPSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

19 · 1 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 1 D · 0 L · GD 0

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

79.2%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 85.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 79.2%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

66.1%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 95.6

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 66.1%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

77.2%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 90.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 77.2%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

96.6%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 97.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 96.6%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

85.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 99.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 85.5%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

57.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 89.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 57.5%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

31.1%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 88.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

22.8%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 90.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

46.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.90 × 1.52

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1481

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 9

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.90 × 1.52

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 97.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 3 recent matches, Viking recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat and averaged 2.00 goals scored per match. PSV Eindhoven's 9-match sample contains 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, with 1.89 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Viking at home with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 1 match, averaging 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded. Away from home, PSV Eindhoven has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 4 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of 3 matches (100%) of Viking's sample and 8 of 9 matches (89%) of PSV Eindhoven's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and 6 of 9 matches (67%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 9.33 per match for Viking and 10.67 for PSV Eindhoven. On target, the averages are 4.67 and 3.67, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Last 5

PSV Eindhoven

5 matches
DLLLW
W
1
D
1
L
3
GF
8
GA
10

Last 3

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Last 9

PSV Eindhoven

9 matches
DLLLWDWDL
W
2
D
3
L
4
GF
17
GA
17

Last 3

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Last 9

PSV Eindhoven

9 matches
DLLLWDWDL
W
2
D
3
L
4
GF
17
GA
17

Season

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Season

PSV Eindhoven

9 matches
DLLLWDWDL
W
2
D
3
L
4
GF
17
GA
17

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Viking

2.00 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

1.89 · 9 matches

Average goals conceded

Viking

2.00 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

1.89 · 9 matches

Over 0.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

100% · 9 of 9 matches

Over 1.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

100% · 9 of 9 matches

Over 2.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

67% · 6 of 9 matches

Over 3.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

44% · 4 of 9 matches

Both teams scored

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

89% · 8 of 9 matches

Clean sheet

Viking

0% · 0 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

0% · 0 of 9 matches

Failed to score

Viking

0% · 0 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

11% · 1 of 9 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Viking

3.67 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

4.78 · 9 matches

Average against

Viking

6.00 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

5.89 · 9 matches

Total average

Viking

9.67 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

10.67 · 9 matches

Over 7.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

78% · 7 of 9 matches

Over 8.5

Viking

67% · 2 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

78% · 7 of 9 matches

Over 9.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

67% · 6 of 9 matches

Over 10.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

67% · 6 of 9 matches

Over 11.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

44% · 4 of 9 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Viking

2.67 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

3.00 · 8 matches

Opponent average

Viking

1.00 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

2.13 · 8 matches

Total average

Viking

3.67 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

5.13 · 8 matches

Over 2.5

Viking

67% · 2 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

63% · 5 of 8 matches

Over 3.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

63% · 5 of 8 matches

Over 4.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

63% · 5 of 8 matches

Over 5.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

63% · 5 of 8 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Viking

13.00 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

10.67 · 9 matches

Opponent average

Viking

12.33 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

9.56 · 9 matches

Total average

Viking

25.33 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

20.22 · 9 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Viking

9.33 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

10.67 · 9 matches

Average shots on target

Viking

4.67 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

3.67 · 9 matches

Average shots conceded

Viking

20.00 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

15.33 · 9 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Viking

3.67 · 3 matches

PSV Eindhoven

5.67 · 9 matches

Average xG

Viking

Insufficient data

PSV Eindhoven

1.52 · 8 matches

Average xG against

Viking

Insufficient data

PSV Eindhoven

2.01 · 8 matches

Home vs away

Viking at home × PSV Eindhoven away

Viking at home

Viking

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
1

PSV Eindhoven away

PSV Eindhoven

4 matches
LWDD
W
1
D
2
L
1
GF
6
GA
6
Average goals scored

Viking at home

3.00 · 1 match

PSV Eindhoven away

1.50 · 4 matches

Average goals conceded

Viking at home

1.00 · 1 match

PSV Eindhoven away

1.50 · 4 matches

Over 0.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

100% · 4 of 4 matches

Over 1.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

100% · 4 of 4 matches

Over 2.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

50% · 2 of 4 matches

Over 3.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

25% · 1 of 4 matches

Both teams scored

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

75% · 3 of 4 matches

Clean sheet

Viking at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

0% · 0 of 4 matches

Failed to score

Viking at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

25% · 1 of 4 matches

Total corner average

Viking at home

8.00 · 1 match

PSV Eindhoven away

9.75 · 4 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Viking at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

PSV Eindhoven away

75% · 3 of 4 matches

Total card average

Viking at home

6.00 · 1 match

PSV Eindhoven away

2.75 · 4 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Viking

Z. Tripić

Midfielder

8.13

3 matches · 259 min

3 goals · 0 assists · 3 of 5 shots on target

T. Moi

Midfielder

6.73

3 matches · 219 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

H. Bjørdal

Midfielder

7.70

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 1 of 2 shots on target

P. Christiansen

Forward

6.71

3 matches · 267 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 5 shots on target

H. Falchener

Centre-back

6.44

3 matches · 179 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

A. Østbø

Goalkeeper

6.18

3 matches · 270 min

6 saves · 3 goals conceded

Ľ. Belko

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

PSV Eindhoven

S. Dest

Centre-back

7.00

1 matches · 90 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

A. Obispo

Centre-back

6.98

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

F. Kostić

Midfielder

6.87

1 matches · 68 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

K. Sano

Midfielder

6.84

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 2 shots on target

L. Geertruida

Centre-back

6.65

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

M. Kovář

Goalkeeper

6.57

1 matches · 90 min

1 saves · 0 goals conceded

N. Olij

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.
  • Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.