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VfB Stuttgart vs Club Brugge KV: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 7

· LONDON TIME · MHPArena · Referee: not provided

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

6 · 3 pts · 1 P · 1 W · 0 D · 0 L · GD 2

VSClub Brugge KV

Club Brugge KV

24 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -1

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

78.2%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 99.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 78.2%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

66.1%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 70.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 66.1%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

78.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 85.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 78.0%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

97.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 96.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 97.0%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

86.7%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 92.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 86.7%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

62.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 80.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 62.5%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

28.9%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 93.6

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

22.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 85.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

49.1%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.06 × 1.53

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1509 × 1501

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 15

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.06 × 1.53

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 91

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 1 recent match, VfB Stuttgart recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats and averaged 3.00 goals scored per match. Club Brugge KV's 10-match sample contains 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats, with 1.70 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows VfB Stuttgart at home with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 1 match, averaging 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded. Away from home, Club Brugge KV has 3 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of 1 matches (100%) of VfB Stuttgart's sample and 6 of 10 matches (60%) of Club Brugge KV's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 1 of 1 matches (100%) and 10 of 10 matches (100%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 17.00 per match for VfB Stuttgart and 11.80 for Club Brugge KV. On target, the averages are 3.00 and 5.20, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

VfB Stuttgart

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
1

Last 5

Club Brugge KV

5 matches
LLDWW
W
2
D
1
L
2
GF
13
GA
11

Last 1

VfB Stuttgart

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
1

Last 10

Club Brugge KV

10 matches
LLDWWLLDLL
W
2
D
2
L
6
GF
17
GA
26

Last 1

VfB Stuttgart

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
1

Last 15

Club Brugge KV

15 matches
LLDWWLLDLLWWWWW
W
7
D
2
L
6
GF
34
GA
30

Season

VfB Stuttgart

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
1

Season

Club Brugge KV

15 matches
LLDWWLLDLLWWWWW
W
7
D
2
L
6
GF
34
GA
30

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

VfB Stuttgart

3.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

1.70 · 10 matches

Average goals conceded

VfB Stuttgart

1.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

2.60 · 10 matches

Over 0.5

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 1.5

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 2.5

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Both teams scored

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Clean sheet

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Failed to score

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

VfB Stuttgart

4.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

3.00 · 10 matches

Average against

VfB Stuttgart

5.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

5.10 · 10 matches

Total average

VfB Stuttgart

9.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

8.10 · 10 matches

Over 7.5

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 8.5

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 9.5

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Over 10.5

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Over 11.5

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

VfB Stuttgart

0.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

1.30 · 10 matches

Opponent average

VfB Stuttgart

3.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

1.90 · 10 matches

Total average

VfB Stuttgart

3.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

3.20 · 10 matches

Over 2.5

VfB Stuttgart

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Over 4.5

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Over 5.5

VfB Stuttgart

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

VfB Stuttgart

13.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

10.00 · 10 matches

Opponent average

VfB Stuttgart

13.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

9.00 · 10 matches

Total average

VfB Stuttgart

26.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

19.00 · 10 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

VfB Stuttgart

17.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

11.80 · 10 matches

Average shots on target

VfB Stuttgart

3.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

5.20 · 10 matches

Average shots conceded

VfB Stuttgart

9.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

18.20 · 10 matches

Average shots on target conceded

VfB Stuttgart

3.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV

7.10 · 10 matches

Average xG

VfB Stuttgart

Insufficient data

Club Brugge KV

1.47 · 9 matches

Average xG against

VfB Stuttgart

Insufficient data

Club Brugge KV

2.24 · 9 matches

Home vs away

VfB Stuttgart at home × Club Brugge KV away

VfB Stuttgart at home

VfB Stuttgart

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
1

Club Brugge KV away

Club Brugge KV

7 matches
LWLLLWW
W
3
D
0
L
4
GF
10
GA
15
Average goals scored

VfB Stuttgart at home

3.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV away

1.43 · 7 matches

Average goals conceded

VfB Stuttgart at home

1.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV away

2.14 · 7 matches

Over 0.5

VfB Stuttgart at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

100% · 7 of 7 matches

Over 1.5

VfB Stuttgart at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

86% · 6 of 7 matches

Over 2.5

VfB Stuttgart at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

86% · 6 of 7 matches

Over 3.5

VfB Stuttgart at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

57% · 4 of 7 matches

Both teams scored

VfB Stuttgart at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

57% · 4 of 7 matches

Clean sheet

VfB Stuttgart at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

14% · 1 of 7 matches

Failed to score

VfB Stuttgart at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

29% · 2 of 7 matches

Total corner average

VfB Stuttgart at home

9.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV away

9.86 · 7 matches

Over 8.5 corners

VfB Stuttgart at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Club Brugge KV away

57% · 4 of 7 matches

Total card average

VfB Stuttgart at home

3.00 · 1 match

Club Brugge KV away

2.71 · 7 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

VfB Stuttgart

E. Demirović

Forward

9.50

1 matches · 62 min

3 goals · 0 assists · 3 of 4 shots on target

D. Undav

Midfielder

7.97

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 2 assists · 0 of 4 shots on target

A. Stiller

Midfielder

7.70

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

J. Chabot

Centre-back

7.44

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 2 shots on target

B. El Khannouss

Midfielder

6.90

1 matches · 71 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

F. Bredlow

Goalkeeper

6.55

1 matches · 90 min

2 saves · 0 goals conceded

M. Funk

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Club Brugge KV

N. Tresoldi

Forward

7.43

1 matches · 90 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 3 of 5 shots on target

H. Vetlesen

Midfielder

6.77

1 matches · 77 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 3 shots on target

Jan Virgili

Midfielder

6.27

1 matches · 86 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

H. Siquet

Centre-back

6.80

1 matches · 45 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Lee Han-Beom

Centre-back

6.68

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Y. Sommer

Goalkeeper

6.90

1 matches · 90 min

5 saves · 0 goals conceded

Argus Vanden Driessche

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.
  • Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.