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Real Betis vs Arsenal: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 7

· LONDON TIME · Estadio de La Cartuja · Referee: not provided

Real Betis

Real Betis

11 · 3 pts · 1 P · 1 W · 0 D · 0 L · GD 1

VSArsenal

Arsenal

15 · 3 pts · 1 P · 1 W · 0 D · 0 L · GD 1

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

83.4%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 76.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 83.4%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

55.6%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 79

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 55.6%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

75.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 88.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 75.5%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

94.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 99.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 94.5%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

78.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 96.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 78.3%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

40.9%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 40.9%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

47.9%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 59.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

24.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 88.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

27.6%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.21 × 1.69

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1512 × 1603

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 1 / 16

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.21 × 1.69

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 46.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 1 recent match, Real Betis recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats and averaged 3.00 goals scored per match. Arsenal's 10-match sample contains 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats, with 1.40 goals scored per match.

Both teams scored in 1 of 1 matches (100%) of Real Betis's sample and 5 of 10 matches (50%) of Arsenal's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 1 of 1 matches (100%) and 2 of 10 matches (20%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 20.00 per match for Real Betis and 14.90 for Arsenal. On target, the averages are 5.00 and 4.90, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Real Betis

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
2

Last 5

Arsenal

5 matches
WDWDD
W
2
D
3
L
0
GF
4
GA
2

Last 1

Real Betis

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
2

Last 10

Arsenal

10 matches
WDWDDWWDWW
W
6
D
4
L
0
GF
14
GA
6

Last 1

Real Betis

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
2

Last 16

Arsenal

16 matches
WDWDDWWDWWWWWWWW
W
12
D
4
L
0
GF
31
GA
7

Season

Real Betis

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
2

Season

Arsenal

16 matches
WDWDDWWDWWWWWWWW
W
12
D
4
L
0
GF
31
GA
7

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Real Betis

3.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

1.40 · 10 matches

Average goals conceded

Real Betis

2.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

0.60 · 10 matches

Over 0.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Over 1.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Over 2.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Both teams scored

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Clean sheet

Real Betis

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Arsenal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Failed to score

Real Betis

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Arsenal

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Real Betis

5.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

5.80 · 10 matches

Average against

Real Betis

5.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

3.90 · 10 matches

Total average

Real Betis

10.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

9.70 · 10 matches

Over 7.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 8.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 9.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 10.5

Real Betis

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Arsenal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 11.5

Real Betis

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Arsenal

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Real Betis

3.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

1.20 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Real Betis

2.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

1.70 · 10 matches

Total average

Real Betis

5.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

2.90 · 10 matches

Over 2.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Over 4.5

Real Betis

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Arsenal

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Over 5.5

Real Betis

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Arsenal

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Real Betis

13.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

11.10 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Real Betis

11.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

10.10 · 10 matches

Total average

Real Betis

24.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

21.20 · 10 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Real Betis

20.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

14.90 · 10 matches

Average shots on target

Real Betis

5.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

4.90 · 10 matches

Average shots conceded

Real Betis

6.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

11.30 · 10 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Real Betis

2.00 · 1 match

Arsenal

3.00 · 10 matches

Average xG

Real Betis

Insufficient data

Arsenal

1.68 · 9 matches

Average xG against

Real Betis

Insufficient data

Arsenal

1.08 · 9 matches

Home vs away

Real Betis at home × Arsenal away

Real Betis at home

Real Betis

0 matches

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

Arsenal

9 matches
WDDWDWWWW
W
6
D
3
L
0
GF
16
GA
4
Average goals scored

Real Betis at home

0.00 · 0 matches

Arsenal away

1.78 · 9 matches

Average goals conceded

Real Betis at home

0.00 · 0 matches

Arsenal away

0.44 · 9 matches

Over 0.5

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

100% · 9 of 9 matches

Over 1.5

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

78% · 7 of 9 matches

Over 2.5

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

33% · 3 of 9 matches

Over 3.5

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

11% · 1 of 9 matches

Both teams scored

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

44% · 4 of 9 matches

Clean sheet

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

56% · 5 of 9 matches

Failed to score

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

0% · 0 of 9 matches

Total corner average

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

7.89 · 9 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

33% · 3 of 9 matches

Total card average

Real Betis at home

Insufficient data

Arsenal away

3.89 · 9 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Real Betis

Marc Bartra

Centre-back

8.80

1 matches · 90 min

2 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 2 shots on target

T. Parrott

Forward

7.74

1 matches · 90 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 4 shots on target

Pablo Fornals

Midfielder

7.70

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 2 shots on target

Isco

Midfielder

7.50

1 matches · 61 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 3 shots on target

Rodrigo Riquelme

Midfielder

6.63

1 matches · 81 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 2 shots on target

Álvaro Vallés

Goalkeeper

6.37

1 matches · 90 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Diego Conde

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Arsenal

M. Ødegaard

Midfielder

8.20

1 matches · 90 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 3 shots on target

C. Tzolis

Forward

6.75

1 matches · 24 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 2 of 3 shots on target

D. Rice

Midfielder

7.30

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 2 shots on target

B. White

Centre-back

7.24

1 matches · 82 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

Bruno Guimarães

Midfielder

7.16

1 matches · 25 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

David Raya

Goalkeeper

7.46

1 matches · 90 min

3 saves · 0 goals conceded

I. Meslier

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.