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Galatasaray vs Feyenoord: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 7

· LONDON TIME · Rams Park · Referee: not provided

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

30 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -2

VSFeyenoord

Feyenoord

33 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -4

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

77.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 85

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 77.5%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

63.1%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 69.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 63.1%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

77.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 77.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 77.3%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

96.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 98.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 96.5%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

83.9%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 84.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 83.9%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

51.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 13

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 51.3%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.09 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

28.9%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 81.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

22.7%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 77.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

48.4%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.09

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.94 × 1.44

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1485 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.7

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 13 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.94 × 1.44

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 58.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 10 recent matches, Galatasaray recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats and averaged 1.10 goals scored per match. Feyenoord's 3-match sample contains 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 1.67 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Galatasaray at home with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 6 matches, averaging 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded. Away from home, Feyenoord has 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 2 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 5.00 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of 10 matches (30%) of Galatasaray's sample and 3 of 3 matches (100%) of Feyenoord's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 of 10 matches (50%) and 3 of 3 matches (100%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 12.00 per match for Galatasaray and 11.00 for Feyenoord. On target, the averages are 4.30 and 4.67, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Galatasaray

5 matches
LLWLW
W
2
D
0
L
3
GF
7
GA
12

Last 5

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 10

Galatasaray

10 matches
LLWLWLDLLW
W
3
D
1
L
6
GF
11
GA
17

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 13

Galatasaray

13 matches
LLWLWLDLLWWWL
W
5
D
1
L
7
GF
16
GA
23

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Season

Galatasaray

13 matches
LLWLWLDLLWWWL
W
5
D
1
L
7
GF
16
GA
23

Season

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Galatasaray

1.10 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

1.67 · 3 matches

Average goals conceded

Galatasaray

1.70 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

Over 0.5

Galatasaray

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Over 1.5

Galatasaray

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Over 2.5

Galatasaray

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Over 3.5

Galatasaray

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Both teams scored

Galatasaray

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Clean sheet

Galatasaray

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Failed to score

Galatasaray

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Galatasaray

3.90 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

Average against

Galatasaray

5.10 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

Total average

Galatasaray

9.00 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

8.33 · 3 matches

Over 7.5

Galatasaray

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Over 8.5

Galatasaray

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 9.5

Galatasaray

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 10.5

Galatasaray

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 11.5

Galatasaray

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Galatasaray

2.33 · 9 matches

Feyenoord

2.00 · 3 matches

Opponent average

Galatasaray

2.78 · 9 matches

Feyenoord

1.00 · 3 matches

Total average

Galatasaray

5.11 · 9 matches

Feyenoord

3.00 · 3 matches

Over 2.5

Galatasaray

89% · 8 of 9 matches

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Over 3.5

Galatasaray

78% · 7 of 9 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 4.5

Galatasaray

67% · 6 of 9 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Over 5.5

Galatasaray

33% · 3 of 9 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Galatasaray

11.10 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

14.00 · 3 matches

Opponent average

Galatasaray

14.10 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

14.33 · 3 matches

Total average

Galatasaray

25.20 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

28.33 · 3 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Galatasaray

12.00 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

11.00 · 3 matches

Average shots on target

Galatasaray

4.30 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

Average shots conceded

Galatasaray

15.80 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

15.33 · 3 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Galatasaray

6.10 · 10 matches

Feyenoord

6.33 · 3 matches

Average xG

Galatasaray

1.36 · 9 matches

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

Average xG against

Galatasaray

2.44 · 9 matches

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

Home vs away

Galatasaray at home × Feyenoord away

Galatasaray at home

Galatasaray

6 matches
WWDLWW
W
4
D
1
L
1
GF
11
GA
5

Feyenoord away

Feyenoord

2 matches
LL
W
0
D
0
L
2
GF
3
GA
10
Average goals scored

Galatasaray at home

1.83 · 6 matches

Feyenoord away

1.50 · 2 matches

Average goals conceded

Galatasaray at home

0.83 · 6 matches

Feyenoord away

5.00 · 2 matches

Over 0.5

Galatasaray at home

100% · 6 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Over 1.5

Galatasaray at home

50% · 3 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Over 2.5

Galatasaray at home

33% · 2 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Over 3.5

Galatasaray at home

33% · 2 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Both teams scored

Galatasaray at home

50% · 3 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Clean sheet

Galatasaray at home

33% · 2 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

0% · 0 of 2 matches

Failed to score

Galatasaray at home

17% · 1 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

0% · 0 of 2 matches

Total corner average

Galatasaray at home

10.33 · 6 matches

Feyenoord away

8.50 · 2 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Galatasaray at home

100% · 6 of 6 matches

Feyenoord away

50% · 1 of 2 matches

Total card average

Galatasaray at home

5.83 · 6 matches

Feyenoord away

3.00 · 2 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Galatasaray

R. Sallai

Centre-back

6.68

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 2 shots on target

Rafael Leão

Midfielder

6.61

1 matches · 32 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

L. Torreira

Midfielder

6.55

1 matches · 85 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

B. Yılmaz

Forward

6.31

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 2 shots on target

D. Sánchez

Centre-back

6.26

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

U. Çakır

Goalkeeper

5.90

1 matches · 90 min

2 saves · 0 goals conceded

J. Yılmaz

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Feyenoord

S. Steijn

Midfielder

6.68

1 matches · 18 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

Gonçalo Borges

Forward

6.58

1 matches · 18 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

O. Targhalline

Midfielder

6.53

1 matches · 45 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Nacho Ferri

Forward

6.48

1 matches · 63 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

G. Zechiël

Midfielder

6.40

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

T. Ernst

Goalkeeper

5.86

1 matches · 90 min

4 saves · 0 goals conceded

F. Kastenmeier

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.