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Viking vs Feyenoord: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 6

· LONDON TIME · Lyse Arena · Referee: not provided

Viking

Viking

29 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -2

VSFeyenoord

Feyenoord

33 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -4

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

77.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 82.8

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 77.0%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

67.6%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 89.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 67.6%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

79.7%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 99.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 79.7%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

97.2%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 94.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 97.2%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

88.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 88.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 88.0%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

66.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 81.6

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 66.3%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

23.2%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 96.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

20.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 99.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

56.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 2.33 × 1.42

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1502 × 1492

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 60.9

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 3

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 2.33 × 1.42

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 96

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 3 recent matches, Viking recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat and averaged 2.00 goals scored per match. Feyenoord's 3-match sample contains 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with 1.67 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Viking at home with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 1 match, averaging 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded. Away from home, Feyenoord has 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 2 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 5.00 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of 3 matches (100%) of Viking's sample and 3 of 3 matches (100%) of Feyenoord's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and 3 of 3 matches (100%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 9.33 per match for Viking and 11.00 for Feyenoord. On target, the averages are 4.67 and 4.67, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Last 5

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 3

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 3

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Season

Viking

3 matches
LWD
W
1
D
1
L
1
GF
6
GA
6

Season

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Viking

2.00 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

1.67 · 3 matches

Average goals conceded

Viking

2.00 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

Over 0.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Over 1.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Over 2.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Over 3.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Both teams scored

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Clean sheet

Viking

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Failed to score

Viking

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Viking

3.67 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

Average against

Viking

6.00 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

Total average

Viking

9.67 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

8.33 · 3 matches

Over 7.5

Viking

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Over 8.5

Viking

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 9.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 10.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 11.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Viking

2.67 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

2.00 · 3 matches

Opponent average

Viking

1.00 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

1.00 · 3 matches

Total average

Viking

3.67 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

3.00 · 3 matches

Over 2.5

Viking

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Over 3.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Over 4.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Over 5.5

Viking

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Viking

13.00 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

14.00 · 3 matches

Opponent average

Viking

12.33 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

14.33 · 3 matches

Total average

Viking

25.33 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

28.33 · 3 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Viking

9.33 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

11.00 · 3 matches

Average shots on target

Viking

4.67 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

Average shots conceded

Viking

20.00 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

15.33 · 3 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Viking

3.67 · 3 matches

Feyenoord

6.33 · 3 matches

Average xG

Viking

Insufficient data

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

Average xG against

Viking

Insufficient data

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

Home vs away

Viking at home × Feyenoord away

Viking at home

Viking

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
3
GA
1

Feyenoord away

Feyenoord

2 matches
LL
W
0
D
0
L
2
GF
3
GA
10
Average goals scored

Viking at home

3.00 · 1 match

Feyenoord away

1.50 · 2 matches

Average goals conceded

Viking at home

1.00 · 1 match

Feyenoord away

5.00 · 2 matches

Over 0.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Over 1.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Over 2.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Over 3.5

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Both teams scored

Viking at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

100% · 2 of 2 matches

Clean sheet

Viking at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

0% · 0 of 2 matches

Failed to score

Viking at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

0% · 0 of 2 matches

Total corner average

Viking at home

8.00 · 1 match

Feyenoord away

8.50 · 2 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Viking at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Feyenoord away

50% · 1 of 2 matches

Total card average

Viking at home

6.00 · 1 match

Feyenoord away

3.00 · 2 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Viking

Z. Tripić

Midfielder

8.13

3 matches · 259 min

3 goals · 0 assists · 3 of 5 shots on target

T. Moi

Midfielder

6.73

3 matches · 219 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

H. Bjørdal

Midfielder

7.70

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 1 of 2 shots on target

P. Christiansen

Forward

6.71

3 matches · 267 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 2 of 5 shots on target

H. Falchener

Centre-back

6.44

3 matches · 179 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

A. Østbø

Goalkeeper

6.18

3 matches · 270 min

6 saves · 3 goals conceded

Ľ. Belko

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Feyenoord

S. Steijn

Midfielder

6.68

1 matches · 18 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

Gonçalo Borges

Forward

6.58

1 matches · 18 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

O. Targhalline

Midfielder

6.53

1 matches · 45 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Nacho Ferri

Forward

6.48

1 matches · 63 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

G. Zechiël

Midfielder

6.40

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

T. Ernst

Goalkeeper

5.86

1 matches · 90 min

4 saves · 0 goals conceded

F. Kastenmeier

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.
  • Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.