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Feyenoord vs FC Porto: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 5

· LONDON TIME · De Kuip · Referee: not provided

Feyenoord

Feyenoord

33 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -4

VSFC Porto

FC Porto

31 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -2

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

68.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 0

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 68.3%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.07 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

62.7%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 71.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 62.7%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.07 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

76.6%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 79.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 76.6%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.07 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

96.1%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 96.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 96.1%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.07 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

83.9%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 97.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 83.9%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.07 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

54.6%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 90.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 54.6%, low confidence and a sample of 1 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.07 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

32.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 95.5

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

23.4%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 79.1

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

44.4%

low
View full analysis
Sample
1 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.07

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.80 × 1.50

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 1

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.80 × 1.50

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 73.9

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 3 recent matches, Feyenoord recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats and averaged 1.67 goals scored per match. FC Porto's 1-match sample contains 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, with 0.00 goals scored per match.

Both teams scored in 3 of 3 matches (100%) of Feyenoord's sample and 0 of 1 matches (0%) of FC Porto's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and 0 of 1 matches (0%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 11.00 per match for Feyenoord and 5.00 for FC Porto. On target, the averages are 4.67 and 0.00, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 5

FC Porto

1 match
L
W
0
D
0
L
1
GF
0
GA
2

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 1

FC Porto

1 match
L
W
0
D
0
L
1
GF
0
GA
2

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 1

FC Porto

1 match
L
W
0
D
0
L
1
GF
0
GA
2

Season

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Season

FC Porto

1 match
L
W
0
D
0
L
1
GF
0
GA
2

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Feyenoord

1.67 · 3 matches

FC Porto

0.00 · 1 match

Average goals conceded

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

FC Porto

2.00 · 1 match

Over 0.5

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

FC Porto

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 1.5

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

FC Porto

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 2.5

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 3.5

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Both teams scored

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Clean sheet

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Failed to score

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

FC Porto

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

FC Porto

2.00 · 1 match

Average against

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

FC Porto

5.00 · 1 match

Total average

Feyenoord

8.33 · 3 matches

FC Porto

7.00 · 1 match

Over 7.5

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 8.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 9.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 10.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 11.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Feyenoord

2.00 · 3 matches

FC Porto

1.00 · 1 match

Opponent average

Feyenoord

1.00 · 3 matches

FC Porto

3.00 · 1 match

Total average

Feyenoord

3.00 · 3 matches

FC Porto

4.00 · 1 match

Over 2.5

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

FC Porto

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 3.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

FC Porto

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Over 4.5

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Over 5.5

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

FC Porto

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Feyenoord

14.00 · 3 matches

FC Porto

10.00 · 1 match

Opponent average

Feyenoord

14.33 · 3 matches

FC Porto

17.00 · 1 match

Total average

Feyenoord

28.33 · 3 matches

FC Porto

27.00 · 1 match

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Feyenoord

11.00 · 3 matches

FC Porto

5.00 · 1 match

Average shots on target

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

FC Porto

0.00 · 1 match

Average shots conceded

Feyenoord

15.33 · 3 matches

FC Porto

20.00 · 1 match

Average shots on target conceded

Feyenoord

6.33 · 3 matches

FC Porto

10.00 · 1 match

Average xG

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

FC Porto

Insufficient data

Average xG against

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

FC Porto

Insufficient data

Home vs away

Feyenoord at home × FC Porto away

Feyenoord at home

Feyenoord

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
2
GA
1

FC Porto away

FC Porto

0 matches

Insufficient data

Average goals scored

Feyenoord at home

2.00 · 1 match

FC Porto away

0.00 · 0 matches

Average goals conceded

Feyenoord at home

1.00 · 1 match

FC Porto away

0.00 · 0 matches

Over 0.5

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Over 1.5

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Over 2.5

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Over 3.5

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Both teams scored

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Clean sheet

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Failed to score

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Total corner average

Feyenoord at home

8.00 · 1 match

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Over 8.5 corners

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Total card average

Feyenoord at home

3.00 · 1 match

FC Porto away

Insufficient data

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Feyenoord

S. Steijn

Midfielder

6.68

1 matches · 18 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

Gonçalo Borges

Forward

6.58

1 matches · 18 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

O. Targhalline

Midfielder

6.53

1 matches · 45 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Nacho Ferri

Forward

6.48

1 matches · 63 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

G. Zechiël

Midfielder

6.40

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

T. Ernst

Goalkeeper

5.86

1 matches · 90 min

4 saves · 0 goals conceded

F. Kastenmeier

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

FC Porto

N. Pérez

Centre-back

6.62

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

J. Kiwior

Centre-back

6.61

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

S. Giménez

Forward

6.52

1 matches · 17 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Borja Sainz

Forward

6.44

1 matches · 22 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Martim Fernandes

Centre-back

6.42

1 matches · 73 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Diogo Costa

Goalkeeper

8.27

1 matches · 90 min

8 saves · 0 goals conceded

Andorinha

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.