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Feyenoord vs Inter: statistics and analysis

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2026/27 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Matchday 4

· LONDON TIME · De Kuip · Referee: not provided

Feyenoord

Feyenoord

33 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -4

VSInter

Inter

25 · 0 pts · 1 P · 0 W · 0 D · 1 L · GD -1

Statistical engine · radaronze-v1

RadarOnze analysis

Probabilities calculated in advance. The explanatory layer organises existing factors and does not change the model’s numbers.

View in the Betting Centre

Away team to score 1+ goals

85.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 95.2

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Away team to score 1+ goals has a model probability of 85.3%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Both teams to score

66.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 77.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Both teams to score has a model probability of 66.5%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Double chance 12

77.3%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 70.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Double chance 12 has a model probability of 77.3%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 0.5 goals

96.8%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 97.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 0.5 goals has a model probability of 96.8%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Over 1.5 goals

86.2%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 94.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Over 1.5 goals has a model probability of 86.2%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Home team to score 2+ goals

50.0%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Signal consensus: 76.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Understand this analysisStructured analysis

Home team to score 2+ goals has a model probability of 50.0%, low confidence and a sample of 3 matches per team.

League average — goals: 3.08 (Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.) Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89 (Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.) Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489 (Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.)

No current market price is available for this signal.

The explanation organises results that have already been calculated; it does not change probabilities, odds, edge, EV, confidence or value classification.

Result probabilities — 1X2Complementary statistical view. It does not take part in top signals or tickets.

Away win

43.8%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 54.3

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Draw

22.7%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 70.7

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

Home win

33.5%

low
View full analysis
Sample
3 matches/team
Model
radaronze-v1

Model factors

  • League average — goals: 3.08

    Weighted average using only matches played before the fixture.

  • Home/away strength: 1.62 × 1.89

    Separate home and away expectations, shrunk towards the overall average.

  • Opponent strength: 1492 × 1489

    Chronological Elo adjustment with no future matches used.

  • Recency: 120-day half-life

    Exponential weighting with a 0.2 floor; older matches never disappear completely.

  • Historical stability: 61.1

    Index derived from the dispersion of previous outcomes for this market.

  • Sample per team: 3 / 11

    Valid home-team and away-team matches available before kick-off.

  • Historical coverage: 100.0%

    Share of previous matches with complete data for this market.

  • Expected Goals: not used

    Coverage or sample was insufficient before this fixture.

  • Model expected goals: 1.62 × 1.89

    Parameters from the independent Poisson model for the home and away teams.

  • Score matrix: 0–10 goals per team

    The 1X2 probabilities are normalised to add up to exactly 100%.

  • Signal consensus: 24.4

    Agreement between the parametric model and the smoothed empirical frequency.

18+ · Statistical estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 3 recent matches, Feyenoord recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats and averaged 1.67 goals scored per match. Inter's 10-match sample contains 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats, with 1.60 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Feyenoord at home with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 1 match, averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded. Away from home, Inter has 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 6 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of 3 matches (100%) of Feyenoord's sample and 6 of 10 matches (60%) of Inter's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and 8 of 10 matches (80%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 11.00 per match for Feyenoord and 18.70 for Inter. On target, the averages are 4.67 and 5.70, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 5

Inter

5 matches
LLLWL
W
1
D
0
L
4
GF
6
GA
10

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 10

Inter

10 matches
LLLWLLLWWW
W
4
D
0
L
6
GF
16
GA
14

Last 3

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Last 11

Inter

11 matches
LLLWLLLWWWW
W
5
D
0
L
6
GF
18
GA
14

Season

Feyenoord

3 matches
LLW
W
1
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
11

Season

Inter

11 matches
LLLWLLLWWWW
W
5
D
0
L
6
GF
18
GA
14

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Feyenoord

1.67 · 3 matches

Inter

1.60 · 10 matches

Average goals conceded

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

Inter

1.40 · 10 matches

Over 0.5

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Inter

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 1.5

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Inter

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Over 2.5

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Inter

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Inter

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Both teams scored

Feyenoord

100% · 3 of 3 matches

Inter

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Clean sheet

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Inter

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Failed to score

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Inter

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Feyenoord

3.67 · 3 matches

Inter

6.70 · 10 matches

Average against

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

Inter

3.60 · 10 matches

Total average

Feyenoord

8.33 · 3 matches

Inter

10.30 · 10 matches

Over 7.5

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Inter

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 8.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Inter

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Over 9.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Inter

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 10.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Inter

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 11.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Inter

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Feyenoord

2.00 · 3 matches

Inter

1.60 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Feyenoord

1.00 · 3 matches

Inter

1.10 · 10 matches

Total average

Feyenoord

3.00 · 3 matches

Inter

2.70 · 10 matches

Over 2.5

Feyenoord

67% · 2 of 3 matches

Inter

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Feyenoord

33% · 1 of 3 matches

Inter

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Over 4.5

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Inter

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Over 5.5

Feyenoord

0% · 0 of 3 matches

Inter

0% · 0 of 10 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Feyenoord

14.00 · 3 matches

Inter

10.00 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Feyenoord

14.33 · 3 matches

Inter

13.30 · 10 matches

Total average

Feyenoord

28.33 · 3 matches

Inter

23.30 · 10 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Feyenoord

11.00 · 3 matches

Inter

18.70 · 10 matches

Average shots on target

Feyenoord

4.67 · 3 matches

Inter

5.70 · 10 matches

Average shots conceded

Feyenoord

15.33 · 3 matches

Inter

10.90 · 10 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Feyenoord

6.33 · 3 matches

Inter

4.70 · 10 matches

Average xG

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

Inter

2.11 · 9 matches

Average xG against

Feyenoord

Insufficient data

Inter

1.06 · 9 matches

Home vs away

Feyenoord at home × Inter away

Feyenoord at home

Feyenoord

1 match
W
W
1
D
0
L
0
GF
2
GA
1

Inter away

Inter

6 matches
LLWLWW
W
3
D
0
L
3
GF
11
GA
7
Average goals scored

Feyenoord at home

2.00 · 1 match

Inter away

1.83 · 6 matches

Average goals conceded

Feyenoord at home

1.00 · 1 match

Inter away

1.17 · 6 matches

Over 0.5

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Inter away

100% · 6 of 6 matches

Over 1.5

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Inter away

100% · 6 of 6 matches

Over 2.5

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Inter away

67% · 4 of 6 matches

Over 3.5

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Inter away

33% · 2 of 6 matches

Both teams scored

Feyenoord at home

100% · 1 of 1 matches

Inter away

50% · 3 of 6 matches

Clean sheet

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Inter away

50% · 3 of 6 matches

Failed to score

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Inter away

0% · 0 of 6 matches

Total corner average

Feyenoord at home

8.00 · 1 match

Inter away

9.50 · 6 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Feyenoord at home

0% · 0 of 1 matches

Inter away

33% · 2 of 6 matches

Total card average

Feyenoord at home

3.00 · 1 match

Inter away

2.50 · 6 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Feyenoord

S. Steijn

Midfielder

6.68

1 matches · 18 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

Gonçalo Borges

Forward

6.58

1 matches · 18 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

O. Targhalline

Midfielder

6.53

1 matches · 45 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Nacho Ferri

Forward

6.48

1 matches · 63 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

G. Zechiël

Midfielder

6.40

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

T. Ernst

Goalkeeper

5.86

1 matches · 90 min

4 saves · 0 goals conceded

F. Kastenmeier

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

Inter

Carlos Augusto

Centre-back

8.20

1 matches · 83 min

1 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 1 shots on target

Lautaro Martínez

Forward

7.52

1 matches · 90 min

0 goals · 1 assists · 1 of 4 shots on target

H. Çalhanoğlu

Midfielder

7.20

1 matches · 60 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 1 of 3 shots on target

N. Barella

Midfielder

7.11

1 matches · 60 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 1 shots on target

P. Sučić

Midfielder

7.03

1 matches · 30 min

0 goals · 0 assists · 0 of 0 shots on target

Josep Martínez

Goalkeeper

7.60

1 matches · 90 min

6 saves · 0 goals conceded

R. Di Gennaro

Goalkeeper

0.00

1 matches · 0 min

0 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Insufficient data

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.
  • Recent histories converge towards matches with three or more goals.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.