RadarOnze

Bahia vs Sao Paulo: statistics and analysis

BRASILEIRÃO 2026 · PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Brasileirão 2026 · Round 33

· LONDON TIME · Arena Fonte Nova · Referee: not provided

Use the scopes and indicators below to understand both teams’ current form. Statistics provide context, but do not determine the outcome.

Bahia

Bahia

5 · 46 pts · 28 P · 12 W · 10 D · 6 L · 43:35 · GD 8

VS
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

11 · 36 pts · 27 P · 10 W · 6 D · 11 L · 32:30 · GD 2

Data interpretation

RadarOnze analysis

An original, deterministic reading of the real samples shown on this page.

Across 10 recent matches, Bahia recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat and averaged 1.60 goals scored per match. Sao Paulo's 10-match sample contains 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, with 0.90 goals scored per match.

The venue split shows Bahia at home with 6 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats in 14 matches, averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded. Away from home, Sao Paulo has 2 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats in 14 matches, with 0.79 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches (70%) of Bahia's sample and 5 of 10 matches (50%) of Sao Paulo's. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 of 10 matches (50%) and 3 of 10 matches (30%), respectively.

Shot volume separates the sides at 14.60 per match for Bahia and 14.30 for Sao Paulo. On target, the averages are 4.30 and 3.90, respectively.

Historical frequencies describe the available sample; they are not a promise or certainty about a future result.

Form

Recent form and season

Last 5

Bahia

5 matches
LWWWW
W
4
D
0
L
1
GF
11
GA
7

Last 5

Sao Paulo

5 matches
WLWWL
W
3
D
0
L
2
GF
5
GA
4

Last 10

Bahia

10 matches
LWWWWDDDDD
W
4
D
5
L
1
GF
16
GA
12

Last 10

Sao Paulo

10 matches
WLWWLDLDLL
W
3
D
2
L
5
GF
9
GA
11

Last 20

Bahia

20 matches
LWWWWDDDDDWWLDLDDLWL
W
7
D
8
L
5
GF
31
GA
28

Last 20

Sao Paulo

20 matches
WLWWLDLDLLDLLDWLLWDL
W
5
D
5
L
10
GF
22
GA
26

Season

Bahia

28 matches
LWWWWDDDDDWWLDLDDLWLWLWWDWDW
W
12
D
10
L
6
GF
43
GA
35

Season

Sao Paulo

27 matches
WLWWLDLDLLDLLDWLLWDLLWWWWDW
W
10
D
6
L
11
GF
32
GA
30

Goals

Frequencies across the last 10

Average goals scored

Bahia

1.60 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

0.90 · 10 matches

Average goals conceded

Bahia

1.20 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

1.10 · 10 matches

Over 0.5

Bahia

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

100% · 10 of 10 matches

Over 1.5

Bahia

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 2.5

Bahia

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Bahia

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

0% · 0 of 10 matches

Both teams scored

Bahia

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Clean sheet

Bahia

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Failed to score

Bahia

20% · 2 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Corners

Volume and observed lines

Average for

Bahia

4.70 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

6.60 · 10 matches

Average against

Bahia

5.60 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

5.20 · 10 matches

Total average

Bahia

10.30 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

11.80 · 10 matches

Over 7.5

Bahia

90% · 9 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Over 8.5

Bahia

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Over 9.5

Bahia

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Over 10.5

Bahia

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Over 11.5

Bahia

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

50% · 5 of 10 matches

Cards

Averages and frequencies

Team average

Bahia

1.80 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

1.70 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Bahia

1.80 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

2.40 · 10 matches

Total average

Bahia

3.60 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

4.10 · 10 matches

Over 2.5

Bahia

70% · 7 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

80% · 8 of 10 matches

Over 3.5

Bahia

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

60% · 6 of 10 matches

Over 4.5

Bahia

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

40% · 4 of 10 matches

Over 5.5

Bahia

10% · 1 of 10 matches

Sao Paulo

30% · 3 of 10 matches

Fouls

Match intensity

Committed average

Bahia

12.30 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

13.80 · 10 matches

Opponent average

Bahia

10.70 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

13.60 · 10 matches

Total average

Bahia

23.00 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

27.40 · 10 matches

Shots

Production and concessions

Average shots

Bahia

14.60 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

14.30 · 10 matches

Average shots on target

Bahia

4.30 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

3.90 · 10 matches

Average shots conceded

Bahia

14.00 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

11.50 · 10 matches

Average shots on target conceded

Bahia

4.60 · 10 matches

Sao Paulo

3.20 · 10 matches

Average xG

Bahia

1.60 · 6 matches

Sao Paulo

1.16 · 6 matches

Average xG against

Bahia

0.85 · 6 matches

Sao Paulo

1.23 · 6 matches

Home vs away

Bahia at home × Sao Paulo away

Bahia at home

Bahia

14 matches
WWDDWWDLDLWWDD
W
6
D
6
L
2
GF
22
GA
14

Sao Paulo away

Sao Paulo

14 matches
LLLDLLLLLDLWWD
W
2
D
3
L
9
GF
11
GA
20
Average goals scored

Bahia at home

1.57 · 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

0.79 · 14 matches

Average goals conceded

Bahia at home

1.00 · 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

1.43 · 14 matches

Over 0.5

Bahia at home

93% · 13 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

100% · 14 of 14 matches

Over 1.5

Bahia at home

93% · 13 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

71% · 10 of 14 matches

Over 2.5

Bahia at home

50% · 7 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

36% · 5 of 14 matches

Over 3.5

Bahia at home

14% · 2 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

7% · 1 of 14 matches

Both teams scored

Bahia at home

71% · 10 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

57% · 8 of 14 matches

Clean sheet

Bahia at home

29% · 4 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

7% · 1 of 14 matches

Failed to score

Bahia at home

7% · 1 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

36% · 5 of 14 matches

Total corner average

Bahia at home

10.50 · 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

10.57 · 14 matches

Over 8.5 corners

Bahia at home

79% · 11 of 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

71% · 10 of 14 matches

Total card average

Bahia at home

5.00 · 14 matches

Sao Paulo away

5.29 · 14 matches

Players and goalkeepers

Pre-match highlights

Bahia

Luciano Juba

Centre-back

7.05

24 matches · 1966 min

9 goals · 1 assists · 16 of 23 shots on target

Jean Lucas

Midfielder

6.70

24 matches · 1644 min

4 goals · 3 assists · 7 of 19 shots on target

Erick Pulga

Forward

6.98

26 matches · 1891 min

3 goals · 2 assists · 14 of 30 shots on target

David Duarte

Centre-back

7.17

20 matches · 1784 min

3 goals · 1 assists · 8 of 17 shots on target

Rodrigo Nestor

Midfielder

6.92

20 matches · 1213 min

1 goals · 3 assists · 8 of 29 shots on target

Ronaldo

Goalkeeper

7.21

18 matches · 1568 min

57 saves · 10 goals conceded

Léo Vieira

Goalkeeper

7.18

9 matches · 774 min

36 saves · 12 goals conceded

Sao Paulo

Luciano

Midfielder

6.99

21 matches · 1568 min

8 goals · 2 assists · 15 of 30 shots on target

J. Calleri

Forward

6.50

23 matches · 1749 min

8 goals · 1 assists · 16 of 36 shots on target

Artur

Midfielder

6.98

17 matches · 1409 min

2 goals · 2 assists · 12 of 27 shots on target

Ferreira

Forward

6.92

21 matches · 826 min

4 goals · 0 assists · 9 of 19 shots on target

Marcos Antônio

Midfielder

6.70

20 matches · 1489 min

1 goals · 2 assists · 3 of 14 shots on target

Rafael

Goalkeeper

6.52

26 matches · 2293 min

62 saves · 27 goals conceded

Carlos Coronel

Goalkeeper

2.33

3 matches · 90 min

5 saves · 0 goals conceded

H2H

Recent meetings

Sao Paulo 2 × 2 Bahia1492248
Average goals
4.00 · 1 match
Both teams scored
100% · 1 of 1 matches
Over 2.5
100% · 1 of 1 matches

H2H corners: 23.00 · 1 match

Combined view

Data convergences

  • Strong statistical convergence for matches with 9+ corners across the available scopes.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the home team scoring.
  • Both scopes show a high frequency of the away team scoring.

Descriptive analysis based exclusively on available frequencies.